The NHE Projections Through 2034: Growth Assumptions, Policy Consequences Richard G. FrankandSherry Glied June 24, 2026

https://www.healthaffairs.org/content/forefront/nhe-projections-through-2034-growth-assumptions-policy-consequences?utm_campaign=forefront&utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_yzAUWwwSd2V8Mwlng9QB_wFpIXBdHVu8pHpw7a_GMWnG3YBqeA8Cv984p40kY61U1-z0Ke7ZYutIVFSLPr8iDqCRFDA&_hsmi=425789085&utm_source=hasu The CMS actuaries are—understandably and reasonably—cautious. But recent developments indicate that changes in technology and policy may alter health care delivery and spending—and consequently our policy choices—in ways we are just beginning to imagine.