Estimating Under-Ascertainment of COVID-19 Mortality: An Analysis of Novel Data Sources to Provide Insight into COVID-19 Dynamics in Damascus, Syria: Report 31 | NLM

Disaster Information Management Research Center | NLM

Estimating Under-Ascertainment of COVID-19 Mortality: An Analysis of Novel Data Sources to Provide Insight into COVID-19 Dynamics in Damascus, Syria: Report 31

09/15/2020 12:00 AM EDT

Source: Imperial College London. Published: 9/15/2020. This 46-page report estimates the potential under-ascertainment of COVID-19 mortality in Damascus, Syria, where all-cause mortality data has been reported between July 25 and August 1, 2020. It fits a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission to reported COVID-19 deaths in Damascus since the beginning of the pandemic and compares the model-predicted deaths to reported excess deaths. (PDF)