Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic — Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015
Martin I. Meltzer, PhD, Charisma Y. Atkins, MPH, Scott Santibanez, MD, et al.
MMWR 2014;63(Early Release);1–14.
The first cases of the current West African Ebola epidemic were reported on March 22, 2014, with a report of 49 cases in Guinea. By August 31, 2014, a total of 3,685 probable, confirmed, and suspected cases in West Africa had been reported. If trends continue without scale-up of effective interventions, by September 30, 2014, Sierra Leone and Liberia will have approximately 8,000 Ebola cases. This report summarizes the efforts of the EbolaResponse tool to provide estimates of the potential number of future cases.Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic — Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015 |
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